Our Marine Plan (2019) pays scant regard to coastal defence and related habitat creation (para 140)"- there will always be a residual risk that defence alone cannot address." (para 141) - so are we sleep-walking into a crisis ?
Hi Ken, not a simple question to answer! Yes there will always be a residual risk, especially as sea level continues to rise. Learning continual adaptation as a mindset is possibly one way to mitigate sleep-walking into a crisis. Please feel free to contact me if you would like to discuss further. Thanks, Gwyn
Hi Kath, we collect data on behalf of all the 15 Maritime Local Authorities in Wales. Though, we are supported by Gwynedd, Conwy and VoG, all of whom have coastal survey teams and collect data available on our website.
Hi Zoe, I'm delighted you are interested in the primary school programme. As we come to the closing stages of its development we will be actively seeking primary schools to engage. The programme has been created under the New Welsh Curriculum with the intention of pushing out across Wales and will be available in Welsh/English. Coastal officers across Wales (and myself) are willing to come to schools to help promote the programme (possibly via Video Call!). We've also worked with international schools who will use some material as schools shared stories of their climate change impacts. It will be downloadable from out website from March.
Gwyn Nelson - horrid question, sorry, but for your risk assessment, how do you evaluate vulnerability and impact ? This is likely to vary in space and time - and also contentious.
Hi Matt, great question and we are always open to input of ideas for our next iteration of the RA. The RA we completed of the entire Welsh coastline was to prioritise survey locations with our set budget, allowing us to measure the most vulnerable locations and inform beach change over time. Funds dictate the spatial extents. For the RA we used tools available at the time, such as NRW Tidal Flood Risk Model (TFRM) - which is a 1 in 200 year coastal flood forecast layer and we counted the number of properties which would be impacted, to score each coastal frontage. We also used the coastal erosion risk map (NCERM) and counted the number of properties per frontage within 50m of the Hw mark, we weighted a score based on how quickly that coast is eroding. The TFRM has since been updated and we will update our RA in the future. A bit difficult to give a detailed answer here but please feel free to contact me for more information or offer suggestions to include in future risk assessments - thanks :)
Croeso i
Ffurflen Gofrestru’r Digwyddiad Ar-lein
"Ein harfordir a'n moroedd: Rhoi syniadau ar waith"
QUESTION SUBMITTED LIVE:
Ken Addison:
Our Marine Plan (2019) pays scant regard to coastal defence and related habitat creation (para 140)"- there will always be a residual risk that defence alone cannot address." (para 141) - so are we sleep-walking into a crisis ?
Hi Ken, not a simple question to answer! Yes there will always be a residual risk, especially as sea level continues to rise. Learning continual adaptation as a mindset is possibly one way to mitigate sleep-walking into a crisis. Please feel free to contact me if you would like to discuss further. Thanks, Gwyn
QUESTION SUBMITTED LIVE:
Kath Wellard:
Gwyn - you only mentioned a few coastal LAs.Are ALL welsh coastal LAs part of the WCMC?
Hi Kath, we collect data on behalf of all the 15 Maritime Local Authorities in Wales. Though, we are supported by Gwynedd, Conwy and VoG, all of whom have coastal survey teams and collect data available on our website.
QUESTION SUBMITTED LIVE:
Zoe McMellin:
Will the lessons be shared with other Primary school in Wales?
Hi Zoe, I'm delighted you are interested in the primary school programme. As we come to the closing stages of its development we will be actively seeking primary schools to engage. The programme has been created under the New Welsh Curriculum with the intention of pushing out across Wales and will be available in Welsh/English. Coastal officers across Wales (and myself) are willing to come to schools to help promote the programme (possibly via Video Call!). We've also worked with international schools who will use some material as schools shared stories of their climate change impacts. It will be downloadable from out website from March.
QUESTION SUBMITTED LIVE:
Matt Lewis:
Gwyn Nelson - horrid question, sorry, but for your risk assessment, how do you evaluate vulnerability and impact ? This is likely to vary in space and time - and also contentious.
Hi Matt, great question and we are always open to input of ideas for our next iteration of the RA. The RA we completed of the entire Welsh coastline was to prioritise survey locations with our set budget, allowing us to measure the most vulnerable locations and inform beach change over time. Funds dictate the spatial extents. For the RA we used tools available at the time, such as NRW Tidal Flood Risk Model (TFRM) - which is a 1 in 200 year coastal flood forecast layer and we counted the number of properties which would be impacted, to score each coastal frontage. We also used the coastal erosion risk map (NCERM) and counted the number of properties per frontage within 50m of the Hw mark, we weighted a score based on how quickly that coast is eroding. The TFRM has since been updated and we will update our RA in the future. A bit difficult to give a detailed answer here but please feel free to contact me for more information or offer suggestions to include in future risk assessments - thanks :)